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Rising Treasury Yields Put Recent Bitcoin Rally Under Pressure

Bitcoin came under renewed pressure as last week ended, falling about 1.4% to roughly $77,000 after reaching around $77,500 earlier in the week. The decline erased a fraction of the crypto’s strong August performance, when it gained almost 25%.

The latest retreat came as rising U.S. Treasury yields and renewed military tensions between Washington and Tehran pushed investors toward a more cautious stance. The developments have also increased expectations that the Fed could consider raising interest rates at its September meeting.

United States and Iranian forces exchanged another series of strikes on Tuesday as tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz intensified. The Trump administration threatened further action against Iranian oil facilities, while Iranian officials warned that American military positions across Gulf states could face additional attacks.

The escalation sent crude prices higher and revived concerns that an extended energy shock could fuel inflation. Bond yields subsequently climbed across several major markets, including the U.S., Japan, Europe and Australia. With inflation remaining above the Fed’s 2% objective, traders have begun assigning greater weight to the possibility of tighter monetary policy.

Bitcoin’s August advance was closely linked to declining bond yields, which generally improve the appeal of assets considered more sensitive to risk. As yields move higher, that supportive backdrop weakens, leaving Bitcoin exposed to the same macroeconomic forces that previously helped drive its gains.

A fresh purchase by Strategy, the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, provided little relief. The company recently resumed buying after a two-month pause, but its demand was insufficient to counter the broader pressure from financial markets. The response highlights the growing influence of interest-rate expectations on Bitcoin’s short-term direction.

The weakness also spread throughout the wider digital-asset market. Major cryptos declined against the USD, with Solana among the biggest losers. BNB proved comparatively resilient, slipping only about 0.3%. This broad-based decline suggests investors were reducing exposure to risk assets rather than reacting to developments surrounding a particular crypto.

Traders are also weighing the impact of Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, which revealed strong employment figures that strengthen the case for maintaining or increasing borrowing costs, potentially keeping Treasury yields elevated.

The Fed is in a tight spot because recent data releases are painting a conflicting picture. Inflation is persisting, and the jobs market is strong, but fuel prices have remained elevated in ways that could accelerate inflation. For now, however, Bitcoin is likely to remain highly sensitive to movements in oil prices, government bond yields, and developments in the Iran-U.S. conflict.

Upcoming economic data releases are likely to be analyzed closely by enterprises like Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MARA) as crypto prices could react sharply to those news items.

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